Should I risk my reputation with this information?If your reputation is what I think it is, then it will no make difference if I'm right or wrong.
They have changed the inflation measuring, the current FED is under reporting inflation by 2/3rds.
Look at that! the government is expanding the money supply at over 17% PA.
Basiclly if the money supply grows by 17%, inflation will also be close to that figuar.and then of course a naive loser like you buys in at $1000/ozt and loses 20%.I bought gold when it was at $400 an ounce, it's now over $900. Yes, some things have gone down in price such as houses due to over production, but the fact is the government is trying to support those price by causing inflation. (Ludwig von Mises) What people today call inflation is not inflation, i.e., the increase in the quantity of money and money substitutes, but the general rise in commodity prices and wage rates which is the inevitable consequence of inflation. (Ludwig von Mises) Inflation can be pursued only so long as the public still does not believe it will continue. Once the people generally realize that the inflation will be continued on and on and that the value of the monetary unit will decline more and more, then the fate of the money is sealed. Only the belief, that the inflation will come to a stop, maintains the value of the notes. The feds own consumer inflation expectations measure is also up. You cling to your Federal Reserve Notes Jaguar.
DC: What we're facing is a monumental monetary crisis that can take one of two forms. It can be deflationary, where billions and billions of dollars are wiped out through bankruptcies and defaults, and the remaining dollars become worth more as a result. Or it can be inflationary, where the world's central banks keep dollar assets from being wiped out by supporting the issuance of debt - which is what they're currently doing, by propping up failing banks and homeowners who can't pay their mortgages. Those are your two alternatives. You can have either one - it's really a flip of the coin as to which you get.
DC: Gold has been in a bull market since 2001. It's gone up, on average, about 25% per year compounded, and there's absolutely no reason the bull market should stop now. On the contrary, there's every reason to believe that the gold bull market, having gone through its Stealth stage and still being in its Wall of Worry stage, is going to hit the Mania stage. To sell now would be to leave the big money on the table. My best advice is, be right and sit tight. And that means staying long until you see a golden bull tearing apart the New York Stock Exchange on the front cover of Newsweek magazine, at which point it will be time to sell. BG: What price do you think gold will hit in 2008? DC: Strictly gazing through a crystal ball, I think it's going over $1,200, no problem. BG: What about the long-term price for gold? DC: Just to reach its previous high in purchasing power, gold will have to go over $2,500 - probably more like $3,000 after you discount the phoniness in the government's CPI numbers. But because this crisis is much more serious than the one in the late 1970s and early '80s and much more far-ranging, $3,000 is actually a fairly conservative number. I'll say it again: gold is not just going through the roof, it's going to the moon.It's not me who is just saying it. http://www.dailyreckoning.com.au/big-gold-interview/2008/04/02/